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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+4.61vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+2.76vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.05+6.65vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.23+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+2.79vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.32vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.21-2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76-1.47vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.90-3.24vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-3.97vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.78+1.25vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.19-0.73vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.67-0.43vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.52-1.21vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-6.74vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.72-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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4.76Bowdoin College3.560.2%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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4.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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5.82Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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13.25University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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12.27Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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13.57Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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13.79McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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9.26Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Conner Harding | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 6.9% |
| Jack Ryan | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 4.4% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 21.8% | 22.0% | 10.4% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 18.2% | 27.3% | 11.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Rice | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.