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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+5.68vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+6.92vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.05+6.60vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+5.18vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+0.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+0.97vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.21-2.26vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76-1.46vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.56-5.16vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.19+1.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.23-6.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-6.00vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.52-0.06vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.78-1.78vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-2.37vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.72-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.6Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.72Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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4.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.74Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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4.84Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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12.25Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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13.94McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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13.22University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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13.63Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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16.02University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Ryan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 4.0% |
| Conner Harding | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 20.0% | 26.4% | 13.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 8.3% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 20.7% | 10.8% |
| Alexandra Rice | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.