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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.60vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.21+3.83vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+2.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.90+2.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+1.72vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05+3.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+0.41vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-3.22vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.23-2.97vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21-0.93vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-4.16vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.78+0.29vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.67-0.41vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.19-2.83vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.52-2.07vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.72-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.2%1st Place
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5.83Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.96Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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4.78Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.07Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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13.29University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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13.59Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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12.17Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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13.93McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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16.0University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 15.9% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 14.9% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 9.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 24.2% | 10.1% |
| Jack Ryan | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 3.8% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 13.0% |
| Alexandra Rice | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.