← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.24+4.64vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College3.56+2.75vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.58+4.90vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.90+3.00vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+1.71vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College3.21+0.04vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.11vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.76-0.80vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.23-3.02vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University2.21-0.91vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.17vs Predicted
-
12Bates College1.19+0.22vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.05-3.20vs Predicted
-
14McGill University0.52-0.04vs Predicted
-
15Middlebury College0.67-1.55vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire0.78-2.68vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut-0.72-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.64Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
4.75Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
7.9University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.0Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.04Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
7.2University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
5.98Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.09Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
4.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.2%1st Place
-
12.22Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
-
9.8Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
13.96McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
-
13.45Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
-
13.32University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
-
16.02University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 15.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Ryan | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 3.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 27.1% | 13.5% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 22.9% | 9.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 8.8% |
| Alexandra Rice | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.