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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+3.71vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.21+3.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.90+3.82vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+5.20vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.19+7.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.24vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24-1.24vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.38vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76-1.50vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05-0.41vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-4.01vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.67+1.52vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-4.95vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-0.61vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.72+0.87vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.52-2.08vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.23-11.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Bowdoin College3.560.2%1st Place
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5.79Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.2Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.09Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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5.76Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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4.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.2%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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9.59Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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13.52Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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13.39University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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15.87University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
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13.92McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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5.94Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 15.5% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Ryan | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 16.1% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 21.4% | 20.9% | 10.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 20.7% | 10.1% |
| Alexandra Rice | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 62.0% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 26.3% | 12.9% |
| Conner Harding | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.