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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+4.20vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+6.61vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+2.39vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.43+4.05vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+0.95vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.90-0.58vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.21-2.73vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-1.36vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.43vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.78+1.08vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.52+0.71vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.19-1.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-8.61vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-2.59vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.72-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.61Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.39Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.42Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.27Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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13.08University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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13.71McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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12.16Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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13.41Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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15.98University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 14.2% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Conner Harding | 12.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 7.0% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 23.8% | 14.5% |
| Jack Ryan | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 2.6% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 22.2% | 9.5% |
| Alexandra Rice | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.