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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+4.19vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.05+7.13vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+4.95vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+4.76vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.90+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+0.96vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.67+6.33vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.21-2.68vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-1.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-3.72vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.20vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.00vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.78+0.12vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.72+1.90vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.19-3.03vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.52-2.19vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.23-11.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.13Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.95Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.76Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.33Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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13.33Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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5.32Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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13.12University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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15.9University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.97Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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13.81McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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5.49Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 13.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| James Moody | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 21.0% | 20.4% | 9.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 13.0% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 20.2% | 8.5% |
| Alexandra Rice | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 15.9% | 63.5% |
| Jack Ryan | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Ker | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 25.5% | 13.4% |
| Conner Harding | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.