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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.23+3.55vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+4.71vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.33+7.39vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.24+9.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09-0.89vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.58+2.69vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60-1.61vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.63-2.68vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.24+0.74vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.33vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.37+0.87vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-7.70vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.48-0.55vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.33-8.61vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-11.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.39Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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13.25Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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6.39Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.74University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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10.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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12.87Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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14.45University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 17.1% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 24.5% | 23.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 10.8% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| George Luber | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 22.2% | 18.0% |
| August Sturm | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 21.2% | 48.6% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.