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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.23+3.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.33+5.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+2.35vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+1.08vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+1.69vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.33+4.44vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99-1.64vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.58+1.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.51-2.27vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60-3.47vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.28vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.63-6.59vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.24-0.81vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.37-2.18vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.24-5.21vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.48-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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10.44Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.36University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.53Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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6.41Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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13.19Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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12.82Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.79University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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14.59University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 15.5% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| August Sturm | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 12.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Scott Booth | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| George Luber | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 24.5% | 20.6% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 23.2% | 15.5% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 19.8% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.