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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+5.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+4.84vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.19+4.38vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+5.91vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.71+0.30vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.17-1.85vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+0.35vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.01+0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.05+3.35vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.97-4.74vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-0.13+1.75vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-2.33vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.15-5.74vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.99-5.74vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.01-3.34vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.48-3.15vs Predicted
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18Williams College-1.54-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Bowdoin College1.8410.1%1st Place
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6.84Brown University1.698.6%1st Place
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5.27Boston College2.0913.9%1st Place
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8.38Yale University1.195.4%1st Place
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10.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.4%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College1.719.4%1st Place
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5.15Harvard University2.1713.3%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.1%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University1.014.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Vermont-0.051.2%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University1.979.1%1st Place
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13.75Connecticut College-0.130.9%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.5%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University1.154.9%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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12.66Northeastern University0.011.8%1st Place
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13.85Boston University-0.481.2%1st Place
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16.2Williams College-1.540.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| bella casaretto | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ella Towner | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 9.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 21.1% | 10.8% |
| Ella Demand | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 4.6% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 14.4% |
| Tess Halpern | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.