← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.33+6.22vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.99+3.27vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College3.23+1.64vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.45vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.51+1.76vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.09-0.93vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.63-0.55vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.60-1.66vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.33+1.39vs Predicted
-
10Middlebury College0.24+3.23vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-4.29vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire1.24-1.35vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College1.58-3.42vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.36vs Predicted
-
15Bates College0.37-1.98vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut-0.48-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.22Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
-
5.27University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
4.64Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
-
5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
-
6.76Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
5.07University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
6.45Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.34Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
10.39Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
-
13.23Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
-
6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
-
10.65University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
9.58Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
-
10.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
13.02Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
-
14.58University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Shaner | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 15.3% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 25.4% | 21.2% |
| Zachary Hall | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 2.6% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| George Luber | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 23.8% | 17.4% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 10.4% | 19.5% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.