← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College3.23+3.51vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.60+4.43vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+2.34vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.33+6.51vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.58+4.71vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.79vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.63-0.50vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire1.24+2.49vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island3.09-3.95vs Predicted
-
10Middlebury College0.24+3.21vs Predicted
-
11Bates College0.37+1.79vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.25vs Predicted
-
14University of Connecticut-0.48+0.52vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.33-7.75vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.51-9.15vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.99-11.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.51Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
-
6.43Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
5.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.51Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
-
9.71Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
-
6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
-
6.5Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
-
10.49University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
5.05University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
13.21Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
-
12.79Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
-
10.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
14.52University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
-
7.25Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.85Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
5.33University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 16.9% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 13.9% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 26.5% | 21.2% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 18.8% | 22.4% | 17.6% |
| George Luber | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 50.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Booth | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.