← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College3.23+3.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.99+3.28vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.51+3.70vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.33+3.45vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.33+5.47vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.09-0.92vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.60-0.45vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.63-1.76vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-3.70vs Predicted
-
10Middlebury College0.24+3.24vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-4.30vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire1.24-1.38vs Predicted
-
14Bates College0.37-1.10vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-4.35vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College1.58-6.28vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut-0.48-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.52Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
-
5.28University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.7Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.45Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
-
10.47Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
-
5.08University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
6.55Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.24Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
-
5.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
-
13.24Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
-
6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
-
10.62University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
12.9Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
-
10.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
9.72Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
-
14.57University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
| Dakota Northrup | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 26.3% | 21.4% |
| Zachary Hall | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 3.3% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 23.5% | 16.5% |
| George Luber | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 18.6% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.