← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College3.23+3.54vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.60+4.40vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.99+2.25vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.09+1.11vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+0.40vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.63+0.52vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.33+3.48vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.33-0.81vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.51-2.29vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-3.25vs Predicted
-
11Bates College0.37+1.82vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire1.24-1.35vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College0.24-0.84vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College1.58-5.39vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-5.16vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut-0.48-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.54Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
-
6.4Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
5.25University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
5.11University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
5.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
-
6.52Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
-
10.48Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
-
7.19Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.71Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
-
12.82Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
-
10.65University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
13.16Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
-
9.61Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
-
10.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
14.57University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 16.9% | 23.7% | 17.3% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 24.3% | 20.3% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| George Luber | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 20.1% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.