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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+4.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.33+5.24vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+3.77vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+0.69vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+1.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-0.54vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.33+3.39vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-1.42vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-4.00vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.24+0.73vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.58-1.41vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.63-5.62vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.27vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.37-1.13vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-2.69vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.48-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.69Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.49Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.39Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.73University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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9.59Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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6.38Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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12.87Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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13.31Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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14.58University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Booth | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 14.4% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Hall | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 14.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 21.6% | 15.7% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 26.0% | 22.2% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 18.5% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.