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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.85+2.38vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.06vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.45vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.35+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.30+0.12vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.28-1.78vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.13-0.69vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-1.92-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Webb Institute0.850.1%1st Place
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3.06Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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1.55SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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5.24Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.22Ocean County College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.31Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.12SUNY Stony Brook-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | 10.7% | 21.1% | 24.1% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 13.2% | 27.2% | 25.1% | 17.5% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 61.7% | 26.4% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Morgan | 2.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 25.0% | 18.9% | 6.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 22.5% | 18.1% | 5.7% |
| John Kirk | 6.3% | 9.7% | 18.6% | 20.7% | 21.6% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 31.3% | 27.0% |
| Spencer Ochs | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 20.8% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.