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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.98vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.42vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.85+0.42vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.28+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.30+0.15vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.92+1.13vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.13-0.67vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.35-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
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1.58SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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3.42Webb Institute0.850.1%1st Place
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4.27Ocean County College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.13SUNY Stony Brook-1.920.0%1st Place
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6.33Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
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5.14Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 15.3% | 27.7% | 24.6% | 16.5% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 60.5% | 24.6% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Walker | 10.3% | 20.0% | 24.2% | 21.0% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| John Kirk | 5.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.1% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 23.3% | 18.2% | 6.2% |
| Spencer Ochs | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 9.3% | 21.6% | 57.9% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 32.8% | 26.8% |
| Mary Morgan | 3.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 22.3% | 22.8% | 17.2% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.