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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.85+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.30+3.14vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.28+1.24vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.13+2.28vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.92+2.17vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.35-0.84vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-5.40vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Webb Institute0.850.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.24Ocean County College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.28Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.17SUNY Stony Brook-1.920.0%1st Place
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5.16Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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1.6SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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2.98Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | 10.0% | 19.9% | 25.5% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Sean Crandall | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 23.5% | 18.5% | 6.0% |
| John Kirk | 6.4% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 0.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 31.0% | 25.1% |
| Spencer Ochs | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 21.9% | 59.1% |
| Mary Morgan | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 23.0% | 17.3% | 7.7% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 59.2% | 26.9% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 15.4% | 26.2% | 26.6% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.