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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.85+2.36vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.30+2.10vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.35+1.24vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.97vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.28-1.75vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.13-0.69vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-1.92-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Webb Institute0.850.1%1st Place
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1.57SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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5.1University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.24Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.03Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
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4.25Ocean County College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.31Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.13SUNY Stony Brook-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | 11.5% | 19.9% | 24.1% | 21.6% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 59.7% | 26.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 23.0% | 18.2% | 5.6% |
| Mary Morgan | 2.5% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 23.9% | 19.6% | 6.8% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 15.3% | 24.2% | 27.0% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Kirk | 5.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 23.1% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 31.5% | 26.6% |
| Spencer Ochs | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 9.4% | 20.7% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.