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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.56vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.04vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.85+0.42vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.35+1.22vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.30+0.12vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.28-1.79vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.13-0.69vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-1.92-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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3.04Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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3.42Webb Institute0.850.1%1st Place
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5.22Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.21Ocean County College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.31Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.11SUNY Stony Brook-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 61.8% | 24.9% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 14.1% | 26.2% | 25.7% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Walker | 10.6% | 20.1% | 23.1% | 22.5% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Mary Morgan | 2.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 23.9% | 19.4% | 6.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.2% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 23.7% | 17.6% | 5.7% |
| John Kirk | 6.1% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 19.2% | 21.7% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 31.2% | 27.0% |
| Spencer Ochs | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 9.8% | 20.5% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.