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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.97vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.42vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.85+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.30+1.15vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.35+0.20vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.28-1.77vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.13-0.68vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-1.92-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
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1.58SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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3.44Webb Institute0.850.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.2Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.23Ocean County College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.32Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.12SUNY Stony Brook-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 16.3% | 26.7% | 23.3% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 59.6% | 27.1% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Walker | 10.2% | 19.8% | 23.9% | 21.8% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.6% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 6.4% |
| Mary Morgan | 3.0% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 25.1% | 18.7% | 6.3% |
| John Kirk | 6.3% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 22.0% | 15.1% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 31.5% | 27.0% |
| Spencer Ochs | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 20.5% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.