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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.85+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.30+3.16vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.46vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.28+0.27vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.93vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.35-0.84vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.13-0.70vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-1.92-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Webb Institute0.850.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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1.54SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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4.27Ocean County College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.07Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.16Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.3Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.12SUNY Stony Brook-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | 10.5% | 20.8% | 24.1% | 20.9% | 14.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 25.4% | 15.7% | 7.8% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 63.1% | 24.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kirk | 5.5% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 21.2% | 16.3% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 12.6% | 28.1% | 24.2% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Morgan | 3.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 6.7% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 31.8% | 26.4% |
| Spencer Ochs | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 22.6% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.