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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-1.92+6.10vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-0.35+3.22vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.85+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.30+1.13vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.28-0.75vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.00vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.13-0.70vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1SUNY Stony Brook-1.920.0%1st Place
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5.22Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.44Webb Institute0.850.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.25Ocean County College0.280.0%1st Place
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3.0Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.3Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
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1.56SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Ochs | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 19.1% | 57.9% |
| Mary Morgan | 3.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 20.7% | 23.9% | 19.0% | 6.9% |
| Sean Walker | 10.7% | 18.7% | 25.0% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.9% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 16.1% | 7.6% |
| John Kirk | 4.8% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 1.2% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 14.3% | 28.0% | 23.0% | 19.0% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 32.7% | 25.9% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 61.9% | 25.2% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.