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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rutgers University-0.35+4.12vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.30+2.12vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.28+0.27vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.85-1.50vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.13+0.24vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-1.92+0.14vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.06Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.27Ocean County College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.5Webb Institute0.850.1%1st Place
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6.24Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.14SUNY Stony Brook-1.920.0%1st Place
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1.56SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Morgan | 3.0% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 22.8% | 18.6% | 6.4% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 14.0% | 24.7% | 26.6% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.9% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 22.0% | 18.8% | 7.0% |
| John Kirk | 5.7% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 21.4% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Sean Walker | 9.5% | 21.1% | 21.6% | 21.2% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 31.8% | 23.6% |
| Spencer Ochs | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 19.7% | 60.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 61.2% | 26.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.