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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.57vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.03vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-0.35+2.18vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute0.85-0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.30+0.13vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.28-1.77vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-1.92+0.16vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.13-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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3.03Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.18Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.47Webb Institute0.850.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.23Ocean County College0.280.1%1st Place
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7.16SUNY Stony Brook-1.920.0%1st Place
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6.22Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 61.6% | 24.4% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 13.8% | 28.4% | 22.7% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Morgan | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 22.8% | 20.2% | 7.1% |
| Sean Walker | 9.5% | 19.5% | 23.9% | 23.1% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.3% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 22.8% | 17.7% | 6.4% |
| John Kirk | 6.1% | 10.4% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 21.2% | 14.8% | 8.0% | 1.7% |
| Spencer Ochs | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 63.1% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 0.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 19.8% | 33.1% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.