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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.58vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-0.35+3.26vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.13+3.22vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute0.85-0.55vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.99vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.28-1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.30-1.86vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-1.92-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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5.26Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.22Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
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3.45Webb Institute0.850.1%1st Place
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3.01Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.22Ocean County College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.11SUNY Stony Brook-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 60.5% | 25.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Morgan | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 25.7% | 18.5% | 7.3% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 32.7% | 25.2% |
| Sean Walker | 9.8% | 19.5% | 23.6% | 22.8% | 14.8% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 14.4% | 27.9% | 23.0% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Kirk | 5.6% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 7.9% | 1.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 4.5% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 23.8% | 16.3% | 7.8% |
| Spencer Ochs | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 21.1% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.