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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+0.92vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.23+1.27vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.28+0.94vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.81+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.86-0.26vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.5%1st Place
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3.27Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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3.94Webb Institute-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.61Rutgers University-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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2.52SUNY Stony Brook0.900.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Carabelli | 46.3% | 28.2% | 16.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 13.5% | 19.0% | 24.0% | 21.2% | 15.2% | 7.1% |
| Ian Lawson | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 25.9% | 15.8% |
| Cassidy Gonzalez | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 17.6% | 26.3% | 35.3% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 3.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 24.5% | 40.5% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 24.2% | 28.8% | 24.8% | 15.7% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.