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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+0.90vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.50vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.23+0.28vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.81+0.60vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.28-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.86-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.5%1st Place
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2.5SUNY Stony Brook0.900.3%1st Place
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3.28Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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4.6Rutgers University-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.03Webb Institute-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Carabelli | 46.1% | 29.6% | 15.9% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 27.2% | 28.5% | 22.1% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 12.3% | 18.3% | 24.5% | 23.6% | 16.2% | 5.1% |
| Cassidy Gonzalez | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 26.6% | 34.5% |
| Ian Lawson | 6.5% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 22.6% | 24.2% | 18.8% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 3.8% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 24.6% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.