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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+1.33vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.69+0.05vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.23+0.70vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.86+0.01vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.81-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.3%1st Place
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2.05Webb Institute1.690.4%1st Place
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3.7Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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2.94SUNY Stony Brook0.900.2%1st Place
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5.01University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.97Rutgers University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Carabelli | 29.4% | 31.1% | 22.3% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 40.5% | 28.6% | 19.0% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 9.4% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 30.9% | 21.9% | 8.6% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 16.2% | 20.6% | 30.1% | 21.5% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 32.3% | 44.5% |
| Cassidy Gonzalez | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 15.2% | 30.0% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.