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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+1.11vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.23+1.69vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.86+0.95vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.81-0.03vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.48-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Webb Institute1.690.4%1st Place
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3.69Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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2.96SUNY Stony Brook0.900.2%1st Place
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4.95University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.97Rutgers University-0.810.0%1st Place
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2.32Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Dzinbal | 38.9% | 27.9% | 20.3% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 9.1% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 29.5% | 22.3% | 9.2% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 16.8% | 18.9% | 30.0% | 21.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 13.0% | 30.9% | 43.4% |
| Cassidy Gonzalez | 1.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 29.7% | 44.3% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 30.5% | 30.0% | 21.8% | 13.1% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.