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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+6.19vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+4.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.58+6.53vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+0.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-0.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.98+5.05vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78+3.40vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17-0.24vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.53+0.04vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-1.32-1.49vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-1.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.84-5.68vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.58-7.70vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.98-3.19vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-8.41vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.00-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8310.8%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.8215.9%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.6318.0%1st Place
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10.19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.983.8%1st Place
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9.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.864.9%1st Place
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12.53University of California at Davis-1.582.1%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Santa Cruz-0.277.0%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Santa Cruz-0.177.8%1st Place
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14.05University of California at Los Angeles-1.981.7%1st Place
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13.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.781.2%1st Place
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10.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.173.2%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Berkeley-1.532.3%1st Place
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11.51California State University Monterey Bay-1.322.4%1st Place
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12.48University of California at Los Angeles-1.612.2%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Berkeley-0.843.7%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Berkeley-0.585.9%1st Place
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13.81University of California at Davis-1.981.8%1st Place
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9.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.884.2%1st Place
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13.97University of California at Davis-2.000.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 15.9% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 18.0% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Farago | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Noa Brassfield | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Luke Melvin | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Emilia McNabb | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dante Massaro | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Lu | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 18.4% |
| Pike Williams | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% |
| Mira Shupe | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Dante Drolet | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| John Flanagan | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Bianca Weber | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Emerson Marquez | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Ng | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 16.9% |
| Bennett Alger | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Jack Skinner | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.