Race 1A

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Maximilian Kuester 61.1% 23.9% 9.6% 4.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 7.9% 19.8% 20.2% 17.5% 15.8% 11.7% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 2.6% 5.2% 6.1% 10.6% 11.8% 16.7% 20.9% 19.4% 6.7% 0.0%
Samuel Haksteen 3.0% 5.5% 8.6% 9.9% 15.3% 17.9% 17.5% 17.3% 5.0% 0.0%
Rachel Pinkham 4.6% 9.8% 13.2% 14.4% 14.9% 14.9% 15.2% 8.9% 4.1% 0.0%
Samara Leith 11.4% 19.3% 21.1% 19.7% 12.2% 10.3% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 7.9% 19.8% 20.2% 17.5% 15.8% 11.7% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Kallie Brown 1.4% 3.6% 3.7% 4.7% 7.6% 10.3% 18.6% 31.3% 18.8% 0.0%
Catherine White 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.4% 3.1% 4.0% 7.9% 15.4% 63.8% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 7.1% 11.8% 16.1% 16.6% 18.5% 14.0% 10.2% 4.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.