Race 2A

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Maximilian Kuester 60.9% 23.7% 10.8% 3.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 7.8% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9% 15.7% 11.5% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Samuel Haksteen 2.8% 5.7% 6.4% 12.0% 12.3% 16.6% 20.4% 17.5% 6.3% 0.0%
Samara Leith 11.3% 20.5% 21.1% 18.8% 14.0% 7.9% 4.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Rachel Pinkham 4.7% 9.2% 13.2% 14.8% 14.5% 15.9% 14.6% 9.8% 3.3% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 7.8% 19.5% 19.5% 18.9% 15.7% 11.5% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 3.0% 5.4% 8.1% 8.9% 12.8% 17.8% 21.5% 16.4% 6.1% 0.0%
Kallie Brown 1.6% 2.9% 4.0% 4.4% 8.1% 10.4% 18.0% 31.8% 18.8% 0.0%
Catherine White 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 2.7% 3.0% 4.0% 6.7% 17.1% 63.2% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 7.0% 12.0% 15.6% 15.9% 18.9% 15.7% 9.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.