Race 3A

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Maximilian Kuester 61.2% 23.8% 9.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 7.5% 19.1% 22.4% 18.0% 14.7% 8.9% 6.3% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 6.5% 12.5% 14.4% 17.8% 17.0% 14.7% 11.1% 4.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Samuel Haksteen 2.9% 6.0% 7.2% 11.1% 14.4% 15.4% 20.1% 17.1% 5.8% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 7.5% 19.1% 22.4% 18.0% 14.7% 8.9% 6.3% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 3.3% 5.3% 9.4% 10.8% 11.6% 17.4% 17.8% 15.8% 8.6% 0.0%
Samara Leith 11.5% 20.6% 21.3% 17.5% 14.3% 8.5% 5.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Rachel Pinkham 4.3% 8.8% 8.9% 14.6% 16.3% 18.8% 15.7% 10.0% 2.6% 0.0%
Kallie Brown 2.0% 2.8% 5.1% 4.4% 7.9% 11.6% 17.1% 29.5% 19.6% 0.0%
Catherine White 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 4.2% 6.7% 18.8% 61.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.