Race 5A

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Maximilian Kuester 61.6% 23.1% 9.2% 4.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 4.4% 10.2% 17.6% 18.0% 16.0% 16.7% 9.7% 5.9% 1.5% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 9.6% 20.1% 20.3% 18.4% 14.5% 9.8% 5.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 9.6% 20.1% 20.3% 18.4% 14.5% 9.8% 5.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 2.5% 5.9% 7.7% 12.5% 11.5% 16.8% 19.1% 18.3% 5.7% 0.0%
Samara Leith 11.7% 23.0% 21.3% 14.4% 13.5% 8.0% 5.3% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Rachel Pinkham 4.7% 6.8% 12.6% 14.5% 15.8% 17.1% 16.4% 9.8% 2.3% 0.0%
Samuel Haksteen 2.7% 6.2% 5.8% 10.1% 15.9% 16.0% 20.7% 15.9% 6.7% 0.0%
Kallie Brown 1.9% 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 8.7% 11.1% 17.2% 28.1% 20.7% 0.0%
Catherine White 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 2.6% 3.3% 4.0% 6.5% 17.5% 62.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.