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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+0.66vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.34+1.97vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.01+3.19vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.36-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland0.87-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-0.01vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.05-0.88vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.87-3.39vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.34-5.03vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.56-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Hampton University3.020.6%1st Place
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3.97Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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6.19William and Mary0.010.0%1st Place
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3.72Christopher Newport University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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6.12SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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4.61William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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3.97Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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8.2St. John's College-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 58.6% | 24.9% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 7.0% | 17.1% | 20.1% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Ransone | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 25.9% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 11.5% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 7.3% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 23.6% | 19.3% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 2.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 7.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 7.0% | 17.1% | 20.1% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Catherine White | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 11.6% | 70.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.