Race 8A

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Maximilian Kuester 58.3% 26.4% 9.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 7.1% 16.7% 22.1% 16.2% 16.6% 11.2% 6.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Samuel Haksteen 2.4% 4.7% 7.6% 8.8% 12.1% 14.4% 20.0% 22.5% 7.5% 0.0%
Elizabeth Ransone 2.1% 4.7% 8.1% 10.0% 11.9% 13.9% 17.5% 23.2% 8.6% 0.0%
Samara Leith 13.0% 20.2% 16.1% 17.7% 14.2% 8.5% 6.1% 3.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 2.7% 4.0% 8.3% 7.8% 12.4% 14.4% 20.6% 21.8% 8.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 6.9% 10.2% 14.0% 16.8% 14.1% 17.4% 12.0% 7.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Patrick Mazzeo 6.8% 11.7% 13.4% 16.5% 14.7% 15.4% 12.4% 7.0% 2.1% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 7.1% 16.7% 22.1% 16.2% 16.6% 11.2% 6.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Catherine White 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 2.6% 4.1% 5.2% 11.7% 70.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.