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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+0.64vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.34+1.96vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.36+0.81vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.05+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland0.86-0.46vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.01+0.13vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.56+1.26vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-1.96vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.34-5.04vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.87-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64Hampton University3.020.6%1st Place
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3.96Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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3.81Christopher Newport University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.0SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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4.54University of Maryland0.860.1%1st Place
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6.13William and Mary0.010.0%1st Place
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8.26St. John's College-1.560.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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3.96Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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4.61William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 60.2% | 23.8% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 7.0% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 9.8% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 6.9% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Ransone | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 24.0% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Catherine White | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 13.4% | 70.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 22.5% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 7.0% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 6.9% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.