Race 10A

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Maximilian Kuester 59.7% 25.4% 8.6% 4.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 7.5% 16.6% 21.5% 17.7% 14.1% 11.4% 6.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Samara Leith 10.0% 19.6% 17.8% 17.9% 14.5% 11.2% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Elizabeth Ransone 2.4% 4.8% 7.4% 9.5% 12.5% 13.4% 18.1% 23.4% 8.5% 0.0%
Samuel Haksteen 3.2% 5.5% 9.0% 10.7% 10.9% 13.3% 17.8% 20.3% 9.3% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 2.9% 4.4% 7.0% 8.8% 11.0% 14.1% 20.3% 23.5% 8.0% 0.0%
Patrick Mazzeo 6.8% 10.6% 14.7% 13.6% 17.1% 17.5% 12.1% 6.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Zachary Thomas 6.8% 11.7% 12.9% 14.8% 16.3% 14.7% 12.5% 8.3% 2.0% 0.0%
Catherine White 0.7% 1.4% 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 4.0% 5.4% 12.7% 69.9% 0.0%
Raymond Bay 7.5% 16.6% 21.5% 17.7% 14.1% 11.4% 6.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.