Race 1B

colony-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luca Taglialegne 63.5% 23.7% 8.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Farrell 4.4% 12.5% 18.2% 16.8% 16.4% 14.8% 9.0% 5.6% 2.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 13.1% 26.3% 22.5% 16.2% 11.9% 5.8% 3.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 4.0% 8.0% 11.1% 13.1% 16.2% 14.2% 14.6% 13.8% 5.0% 0.0%
Sarah Culp 2.8% 6.4% 8.3% 13.3% 11.2% 13.3% 16.4% 16.1% 12.2% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 5.8% 10.8% 16.3% 16.4% 16.7% 14.5% 11.6% 6.0% 1.9% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 2.4% 5.3% 6.4% 8.5% 13.0% 16.0% 17.1% 20.3% 11.0% 0.0%
Samuel Davey 2.5% 5.1% 6.0% 7.8% 10.8% 12.9% 16.2% 21.0% 17.7% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 5.8% 10.8% 16.3% 16.4% 16.7% 14.5% 11.6% 6.0% 1.9% 0.0%
Jack Cooper 1.5% 1.9% 3.2% 4.2% 3.0% 8.2% 11.6% 16.7% 49.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.