Race 2B

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luca Taglialegne 62.6% 25.1% 7.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 3.7% 9.3% 15.4% 17.8% 16.6% 15.7% 11.0% 7.1% 3.4% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 13.4% 26.4% 22.5% 15.8% 12.7% 5.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Liam Farrell 7.3% 13.6% 18.0% 17.4% 17.2% 11.9% 8.6% 4.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 4.0% 8.9% 11.5% 14.1% 12.7% 15.0% 15.3% 11.1% 7.4% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 2.6% 4.3% 8.1% 10.8% 11.7% 13.9% 19.4% 17.7% 11.5% 0.0%
Sarah Culp 2.7% 5.5% 7.6% 8.7% 13.9% 17.0% 15.7% 18.9% 10.0% 0.0%
Samuel Davey 2.5% 4.9% 6.1% 7.4% 10.9% 13.9% 15.1% 21.9% 17.3% 0.0%
Jack Cooper 1.2% 2.0% 3.0% 4.6% 3.4% 7.1% 11.9% 17.7% 49.1% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 3.7% 9.3% 15.4% 17.8% 16.6% 15.7% 11.0% 7.1% 3.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.