Race 3B

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luca Taglialegne 63.1% 23.4% 9.4% 3.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 11.4% 25.6% 23.7% 15.0% 12.6% 6.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 4.9% 12.3% 14.0% 17.0% 16.1% 14.5% 12.1% 7.2% 1.9% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 2.4% 5.6% 7.5% 11.9% 11.5% 16.6% 14.7% 16.2% 13.6% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 3.9% 8.5% 13.7% 12.5% 13.2% 14.6% 15.5% 11.8% 6.3% 0.0%
Sarah Culp 3.0% 5.7% 7.4% 9.6% 13.9% 14.9% 17.7% 17.5% 10.3% 0.0%
Liam Farrell 7.1% 12.7% 15.9% 19.3% 17.4% 11.8% 9.0% 6.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Jack Cooper 1.2% 1.6% 3.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.9% 10.6% 19.0% 49.4% 0.0%
Samuel Davey 3.0% 4.6% 5.2% 7.3% 10.0% 14.4% 17.2% 21.0% 17.3% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 4.9% 12.3% 14.0% 17.0% 16.1% 14.5% 12.1% 7.2% 1.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.