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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.56vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.80+1.36vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.06+1.65vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-1.03+2.30vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.83+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.62vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.09-2.64vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.78-2.06vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-1.81-1.44vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.06-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
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3.36Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
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4.65Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.3William and Mary-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.36William and Mary0.090.1%1st Place
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5.94Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.56St. John's College-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.65Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 63.2% | 23.4% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 11.1% | 25.7% | 22.5% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 5.1% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Davey | 1.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 2.6% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 4.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Farrell | 7.2% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cooper | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 19.6% | 47.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 5.1% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.