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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.06+3.61vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.80+1.35vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26-1.43vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.09+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+0.29vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.78-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.83-0.93vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.06-3.39vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-1.03-2.63vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.81-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.35Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
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1.57Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
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4.28William and Mary0.090.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.9Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.61Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.37William and Mary-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.57St. John's College-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gibson | 6.0% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 11.1% | 25.3% | 22.9% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 62.7% | 23.8% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Farrell | 7.1% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 3.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 6.0% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Davey | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cooper | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 49.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.