Race 6B

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Liam Farrell 7.0% 13.1% 15.6% 18.8% 16.2% 13.0% 10.1% 5.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 3.0% 5.1% 11.0% 12.2% 16.8% 15.7% 15.5% 13.5% 7.2% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 59.5% 27.1% 9.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 2.9% 4.7% 9.6% 11.0% 10.9% 14.6% 17.2% 17.2% 11.9% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 14.9% 27.0% 23.4% 14.1% 10.1% 6.9% 2.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 5.4% 10.9% 16.9% 18.2% 16.8% 12.7% 11.0% 6.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Sarah Culp 3.1% 5.4% 5.4% 11.4% 12.6% 15.7% 19.0% 17.8% 9.6% 0.0%
Samuel Davey 2.7% 4.8% 4.5% 8.5% 11.6% 13.8% 14.6% 21.7% 17.8% 0.0%
Jack Cooper 1.5% 1.9% 3.7% 3.3% 4.3% 7.4% 10.4% 16.9% 50.6% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 5.4% 10.9% 16.9% 18.2% 16.8% 12.7% 11.0% 6.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.