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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.72+2.55vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.36-0.74vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.08-1.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22-1.09vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.71-0.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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2.26University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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2.7Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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5.88California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 17.3% | 18.5% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 24.4% | 21.7% | 11.2% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 34.5% | 30.1% | 17.9% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 27.1% | 22.6% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.1% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 23.0% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 5.0% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 22.1% | 49.1% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 15.5% | 30.0% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.