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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-1.58+11.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.77vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+6.39vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.63-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+1.15vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17+3.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+2.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.98+4.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.84-0.76vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.98+3.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.61+0.37vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-1.32-1.44vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78-0.73vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27-7.90vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-1.53-4.00vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.58-8.56vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-8.37vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.00-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.69University of California at Davis-1.581.3%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.8215.0%1st Place
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9.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.864.5%1st Place
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5.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8310.8%1st Place
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4.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.6319.9%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.176.4%1st Place
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10.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.173.5%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.983.6%1st Place
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13.85University of California at Los Angeles-1.981.6%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Berkeley-0.844.7%1st Place
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14.01University of California at Davis-1.981.3%1st Place
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12.37University of California at Los Angeles-1.612.1%1st Place
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11.56California State University Monterey Bay-1.323.2%1st Place
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13.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.781.7%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.277.7%1st Place
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12.0University of California at Berkeley-1.533.0%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Berkeley-0.585.4%1st Place
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9.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.883.4%1st Place
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13.97University of California at Davis-2.001.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Melvin | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
| George Soliman | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 19.9% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mira Shupe | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Farago | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Kevin Lu | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 18.1% |
| Bianca Weber | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Ng | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.8% |
| John Flanagan | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Pike Williams | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% |
| Emilia McNabb | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dante Drolet | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% |
| Emerson Marquez | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Bennett Alger | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Jack Skinner | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.