Race 7B

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luca Taglialegne 61.8% 23.5% 9.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 10.6% 24.7% 22.3% 16.2% 12.7% 7.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 5.1% 10.5% 14.0% 15.5% 17.1% 14.9% 11.1% 9.6% 2.2% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 4.0% 6.1% 9.9% 13.6% 14.7% 15.2% 15.7% 15.1% 5.7% 0.0%
Sarah Culp 2.8% 5.9% 9.3% 10.3% 10.6% 14.8% 16.5% 15.4% 14.4% 0.0%
Adriane Tomovic 8.0% 17.0% 17.5% 18.7% 16.3% 11.0% 8.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Kenneth Preston 3.1% 5.7% 6.8% 10.2% 12.4% 16.4% 16.0% 19.7% 9.7% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 3.1% 4.5% 8.0% 8.4% 11.7% 13.2% 16.7% 19.1% 15.3% 0.0%
Jack Cooper 1.5% 2.1% 2.6% 3.5% 3.7% 6.9% 11.0% 17.2% 51.5% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 5.1% 10.5% 14.0% 15.5% 17.1% 14.9% 11.1% 9.6% 2.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.