Race 8B

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luca Taglialegne 61.8% 24.9% 7.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adriane Tomovic 5.6% 13.5% 20.9% 17.5% 17.1% 12.9% 6.6% 4.1% 1.8% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 13.0% 25.3% 20.2% 17.5% 12.5% 7.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 3.8% 6.8% 10.7% 13.3% 13.9% 16.3% 14.4% 14.6% 6.2% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 6.3% 12.0% 16.5% 14.4% 13.1% 16.4% 10.3% 6.4% 4.6% 0.0%
Sarah Culp 2.5% 4.3% 7.5% 10.8% 11.9% 13.3% 19.6% 17.9% 12.2% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 2.3% 5.1% 6.5% 8.1% 12.5% 14.2% 17.7% 20.8% 12.8% 0.0%
Kenneth Preston 3.3% 6.2% 7.5% 9.9% 14.1% 14.0% 16.7% 17.1% 11.2% 0.0%
Jack Cooper 1.4% 1.9% 2.6% 4.2% 3.8% 5.4% 11.8% 17.8% 51.1% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 6.3% 12.0% 16.5% 14.4% 13.1% 16.4% 10.3% 6.4% 4.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.