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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.55vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.06+2.80vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.80+0.23vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.78+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+0.31vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.10-1.32vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.69-1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.83-1.94vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-1.81-1.39vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.06-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.23Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
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5.9Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.68William and Mary-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.84William and Mary-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
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7.61St. John's College-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 63.5% | 24.1% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 3.6% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 12.9% | 27.0% | 22.0% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 2.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 3.9% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 5.7% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Preston | 3.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cooper | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 50.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 3.6% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.