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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.80+2.23vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26-0.37vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.06+1.70vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.10+0.63vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.78+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.83+0.05vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.69-1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-2.57vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-1.81-1.36vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.06-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
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1.63Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
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4.7Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.63William and Mary-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.85Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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6.05University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.84William and Mary-0.690.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.64St. John's College-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.7Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Kempton | 14.8% | 24.0% | 23.5% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 58.4% | 26.6% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 5.9% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Firth | 6.0% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 3.1% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Preston | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 4.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cooper | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 51.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 5.9% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.